Tampa Prep 2009-2010 Impact Defense File



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Tampa Prep 2009-2010 Impact File 2.0

Gonzo and Lison /


Tampa Prep 2009-2010 Impact Defense File





Tampa Prep 2009-2010 Impact Defense File 1

Notes on the File 9

AT: Accidental Launch/Nuclear War 10

AT: Acid Rain 11

AT: Afghanistan 12

Ext #1 – Alt Cause 14

AT: Afghanistan Economy 16

AT: Afghanistan Secession 17

AT: Afghanistan Spills Over To Pakistan 18

AT: African Economies 19

AT: African Nuclear Wars (Deutch) 20

Ext #1 – Emperically Denied 21

Ext #2 – Don’t Escalate 22

AT: Agroterror 23

AT: AIDs 24

Ext #1 – AIDS will not Cause Extinction 25

Ext #2 – AIDS Inevitable 26

Ext #4 – No Mutation 27

AT: AIDS causes Conflict 28

AT: AIDS Global Spread (Africa Specific) 29

AT: AIDS Hurts Infrastructure 30

AT: AIDS  Instability (Africa Specific) 31

AT: AIDS  National Insecurity 32

AT: Air Polution 33

Ext #2 – Quality Improving 34

Ext #3 – No Impact 35

AT: Air Power 36

Ext #1 – Ground Forces Key 37

AT: Amazon 38

AT: Antibiotic Resistance 39

AT: Arctic War 40

AT: Asian Economies 41

AT: Australian Prolif 42

AT: Auto Industry Collapse 43

AT: Balkan Instability 44

AT: Biodiversity Impacts 46

Ext #1: No Extinctions Now 48

Ext #2 – Emperically Denied 49

Ext #3 – Captive Breeding 50

Ext #4 – Resillience 51

AT: Biofuels Kill Environment 52

AT: Biopower 53

AT: Bioterrorism 54

Ext #1 – No Risk 56

Ext #2 – No Extinction 57

AT: Bioweapons (In General) 58

AT: Bird Flu 1/2 59

AT: Bird Flu 2/2 60

Ext #1 – Vaccines Solve 61

Ext #3 – No Mutation 62

Ext #4 – Mutation Slow 63

Ext #5 – No Human Spread 64

AT: Blackouts 65

Ext #1 – Not Key to Econ 67

Ext #2 – Preventable 68

Ext #3 – Blackouts are Constructive 69

AT: Brazilian Economy 70

AT: Business Confidence 71

AT: California Economy 72

AT: Caribbean Economies 73

AT: CCP Collapse 74

AT: Central Asian War 75

Ext #1 – No War 77

Ext #2 – No Escalation 78

AT: Civil-Military Relations 79

AT: Chavez 80

AT: Chemical Industry Collapse 81

AT: Chemical Terror 82

AT: Chemical Weapons 83

AT: Child Abuse 85

AT: China Agression 86

AT: China Bashing 87

AT: Chinese Economy 88

AT: China India War 89

AT: China Japan War 90

AT: Chinese Military Modernization 91

AT: China Rise 93

Ext #2 – Preaceful Rise 95

AT: China (Rouge States Impact) 96

AT: Chinese Soft Power 97

AT: Chinese Start War In Africa 99

AT: China-Taiwan War 100

AT: Civic Engagement 102

Ext #1 – Civic Engagement Fails 103

AT: Civilian-Military Relations 104

AT: Competitiveness 106

AT: Competitiveness Key to Economy 107

AT: Competitiveness Key to Heg 108

AT: Coral Reefs 109

Ext #1 – Non Unique 111

Ext #2 – Alt Cause 112

AT: Cultural Diversity 113

AT: Customary International Law 114

Ext #1 – ILaw Fails 116

Ext #4 – Domestic Law Better 117

AT: Cyber Terrorism 118

AT: Deficit 119

AT: Deforestation 121

Ext #2 – Alt Cause 122

AT: Dehumanization 123

Ext #3 – Gov’t = Dehumanizing 124

Ext #4 – War = Dehumanizing 125

AT: Democracies Solve Wars 126

Ext #4 – Transition Wars 128

AT: Deterrance 129

AT: Dirty Bomb 130

AT: Diseases  Extinction (Generic) 131

Ext #1 – NO Extinction 133

Ext #1 – No Extinction 135

AT: Disease Threatens National Security 136

AT: Dollar Decline 137

AT: Dollar Dump 138

AT: Double Dip Recession 139

AT: Drug Use 140

AT: East Asian Arms Race 141

AT: East Asian War 142

AT: Ebola 1/2 144

AT: Ebola 2/2 145

AT: Economy 1/2 146

AT: Economy 2/2 148

Ext #1 – Econ Resilient 150

Ext #2 – Doesn’t Cause War 152

Ext #3 and 4 – Safeguards Prevent 154

Ext #5 – U.S. Not Key to Global Econ 155

AT: Econ Key to Heg 157

AT: Ecosystems 158

AT: Egyptian Instability 1/2 159

AT: Egyptian Instability 2/2 160

AT: Electricity Prices Spikes 161

Ext #1 – No Impact to Economy 162

Ext #2 – Innevitable 164

AT: Endocrine Disruptions 165

AT: Energy Security 166

AT: Environmental Leadership 167

AT: Environmental Racism/Justice 168

AT: EU Soft Power 169

AT: Europe Wars 170

AT: Failed States 171

AT: Failed States  Terrorism 173

AT: Failed States  Prolif 174

AT: Failed States  Organized Crime 175

AT: Famine 176

AT: Federalism 177

Ext #1 – N/U (Federalism Down) 178

AT: Federalism (Modeling) 179

AT: Fertilizer 181

AT: Flu (The Regular One) 182

AT: Food Price Spikes 183

Ext #2 – Food Price Increase Innevitable 185

AT: Free Trade Impacts 186

Ext #1 – Doesn’t Decrease Conflict 188

Ext #2 – Trade Inevitable 189

Ext #3 – No Escalation 190

AT: Free Trade Solves Interdependance 191

AT: Gay Rights (and other Impacts) 192

AT: Genocide 193

Ext #2 – Nuclear War 194

AT: Global Warming Impacts 195

Ext #1 – Not Real 197

AT: Global Warming (Coral Reefs) 198

AT: Global Warming (Oceans Scenario) 199

AT: Global Warming Causes Wars 200

AT: Greek-Turkish Conflict 201

AT: Grid Terror 202

Ext #1: No Impact 203

Ext #2 – Solving Now 205

AT: Grid Terror (EMP) 206

AT: Grid Terror (Alaskan Pipeline) 207

Ext #2 – Pipeline Safe 208

AT: Grid Terror (Cyber Terror) 209

AT: Ground Forces (Land Army Heg) 210

AT: Hegemony 211

AT: Honeybees 213

AT: Hunger 214

Ext #3 – War  Hunger 215

AT: Human Rights 216

AT: Hurricanes Kill Economy 217

AT: Ice Age 218

AT: Imperialism 219

AT: Indian Economy 221

AT: India Iran Conflict 222

AT: Indian Space Race 223

AT: Indonesian Instability 224

AT: Indo-Pak War 225

AT: Industrial Agricutlure 226

AT: Iran Attacks Israel 227

AT: Iran Blocks Strait of Hormuz 228

AT: Iran – Central Asian Expansion 229

AT: Iran Prolif 1/2 230

AT: Iran Prolif 2/2 231

Ext #1 – Sanctions Solve 232

Ext #2 – China 233

AT: Iran Strikes (By Israel) 234

AT: Iran Strikes (By the US) 235

Ext #1 – No Strikes 237

AT: Iraqi Instability 239

AT: Iraqi Democracy 240

AT: Israel Wars (From Terrorist Attack) 241

AT: Israel Wars (Other Countries) 242

AT: Israeli-Palestinian Conflict 243

AT: Israeli-Turkish War 244

AT: Japanese Economy 245

AT: Japanese Nationalism 246

AT: Japanese Rearm 247

AT: Japanese Soft Power 249

AT: Japanese-South Korean Relations 250

AT: Korean Reunification 251

AT: Kuwaiti Economy 252

AT: Language (K) 253

AT: Latin American Economies 254

AT: LNG Explosion 1/2 255

AT: LNG Explosion 2/2 256

AT: LNG Terror 257

AT: Malaria 259

Ext #1 – Vaccines Solve 260

AT: Malnutrition 261

AT: Mexico Collapse 262

Ext #1 – Drug Wars 263

AT: Mexico Drug Wars 264

AT: Middle East Instability 265

AT: Middle East Wars 266

AT: Military Budget 267

AT: Military Education 268

AT: Military Morale 269

AT: Military Overstretch 270

AT: Military Quality 271

AT: Military Recruitment 272

AT: Monoculture 273

Ext #2 – Alt Cause 274

AT: Nanotech 275

AT: Narcoterror 276

AT: NATO 277

Ext #1 – NATO Not Key 278

AT: Natural Gas Price Spikes 279

AT: North Korea Aggression 280

AT: North Korea-South Korea War 281

AT: North Korea Prolif 283

AT: Nuclear Radiation 284

AT: Nuclear Reactor Meltdowns 285

Ext #1 – Reactors Safe 286

Ext #2 – No Probability 287

AT: Nuclear Terrorism 288

Ext #1 – No Risk 289

Ext #2 – No Tech 290

AT: Nuclear War  Extinction 291

AT: Nuclear Waste 292

AT: Obesity 293

Ext #3 – Obesity Doesn’t Kill 294

AT: Oceans 295

Ext #1 – Resilient 296

Ext #3 – Alt Causes 297

AT: Oil Dependency 299

Ext #1 – No War 300

AT: Oil Dependence (Terrorism Impact) 301

AT: Oil Peak 302

Ext #1 – Oil Companies Lie 304

Ext #2 – Oil is Still There 305

Ext #3 – Timeframe 306

Ext #4 – Reserves 307

AT: Oil Shocks 308

Ext #1 – Oil Shocks Gradual 310

AT: Organized Crime 311

Ext #2 – Move to Other Crimes 312

AT: Overfishing 313

Ext #2 – Subsidies 315

AT: Overpopulation Impacts 316

AT: Oxygen 317

AT: OZONE Depletion 318

Ext #1 – Ozone Holes Shrinking 319

AT: Pakistani Economy 320

AT: Pakistan Gives Nukes to Terrorists 321

AT: Pakistani Instability 322

AT: Pakistani Loose Nukes 323

AT: Palestinian Collapse 325

AT: Patriarchy Impacts 326

AT: Patriarchy  War 327

AT: Pesticides 328

AT: Phytoplankton 329

AT: Pollution 330

AT: Port Terror 332

AT: Positive Peace 333

AT: Post Traumatic Stress Disorder 334

AT: Poverty (Gilligan) 335

AT: Poverty (Global) 336

AT: Poverty (Moral Ob.)(Nuclear War Outweighs) 1/2 338

AT: Poverty (Moral Ob.)(Nuclear War Outweighs) 2/2 339

AT: Poverty (U.S.) 340

Ext #1 – Rate Flawed 341

Ext #2 – Poverty Down 342

Ext #3 – Material Conditions Improving 343

AT: Poverty  Terrorism 344

AT: Proliferation 345

AT: Protectionism 346

AT: Quebec Secession 347

AT: Racism 348

Ext #1 – Root Cause 349

Ext #2 – No Global Spillover 350

Ext #4 – Racism Declining 351

Ext #5 – Capitalism 353

AT: Railroads 354

AT: Rape 355

AT: Readiness 357

Ext #1 – DADT 359

Ext #3 - Retention Solves Readiness 360

AT: Resource Wars 1/2 361

AT: Resource Wars 2/2 362

Ext #1 – No Conflict 363

Ext #2 – Global Inequalities 364

Ext #3 – Corruption 365

AT: RMA (Revolution in Military Affairs) 366

Ext #4 – RMA Fails 368

AT: Russian Accidental Launch 369

AT: Russian Agression in the Caspian 370

AT: Russia-China War 371

AT: Russian Civil War 372

AT: Russian Economy 373

AT: Russian Expansionism 374

AT: Russian Loose Nukes 375

AT: Russian Nationalism 376

AT: SARS 377

AT: Saudi Arabian Instability 378

AT: Saudi Arabian Prolif 379

AT: Science Diplomacy 380

AT: Secession 381

Ext #1 – Don’t Want It 382

AT: Single Species Collapse 383

AT: Small Businesses 384

AT: Smallpox 385

AT: Soft Power 386

Ext #1 – Obama Solves 388

Ext #2 – Alt Cause 390

Ext #3 – Hard Power Key 391

AT: Soil Erosion 1/2 392

AT: Soil Erosion 2/2 394

Ext #2 – Erosion Decreasing 395

AT: South Asian Prolif 396

AT: South China Sea War 397

AT: South Korean Diplomacy 398

AT: South Korean Econ 399

AT: South Korea Prolif 400

AT: Space Colonization 401

AT: Space Junk 402

AT: Space Militarization 403

AT: Spratly Islands 404

Ext #3 – Agreements 406

Ext #4 – No Excalation 407

AT: Sprawl 408

AT: Sri Lankan Economy 409

AT: State Economies/Budgets 410

AT: Steel Industry 411

AT: Superbugs 412

AT: Swine Flu 1/2 413

AT: Swine Flu 2/2 414

AT: Syrian WMD Use 415

AT: Taiwanese Prolif 416

AT: Taliban 417

AT: Tar Sands 419

AT: Teen Pregnancy 420

AT: Terrorism – Generic 1/2 422

AT: Terrorism – Generic 2/2 423

Ext #1 – Terrorism Declining 425

Ext #3 – No Attack 426

Ext #4 – Terror Exaggerated 427

Ext #5 – No Money 428

AT: Terrorism – Economic Fallout 429

AT: Terrorism – U.S. Lashout 430

AT: Tuberculosis 431

AT: Turkish Economy 433

AT: Turkish Loose Nukes 435

AT: Turkish PKK Conflict 436

AT: Turkish Prolif 437

AT: Ukrainian Economy 439

AT: U.N. Credibility 440

AT: U.S. Australian Relations 441

AT: U.S. Brazil Relations 442

AT: U.S. Canada Relations 443

AT: U.S. China Relations 444

Ext #1 – Relations High 445

AT: U.S. China War 446

Ext #1 – Not a Threat 447

Ext #1 – Not A Threat 449

Ext #3 – No Taiwan Conflict 451

AT: U.S. Civil War 453

AT: U.S. E.U. Relations 454

AT: U.S. India Relations 455

AT: U.S. Iraqi Relations 456

AT: U.S. Japanese Relations 457

AT: U.S. Kuwait Relations 459

AT: U.S. Mexican Relations 460

AT: U.S. North Korea War 461

Ext #3 – No China 462

AT: U.S. Pakistani Relations 463

AT: U.S. Qatari Relations 464

AT: U.S. Russian Relations 465

AT: U.S. Russia War 467

Ext #2 – No War 468

AT: U.S. Saudi Relations 469

AT: U.S. South Korean Relations 470

AT: U.S. Turkish Relations 471

AT: Water Polution 472

Ext – Alt Cause 473

Ext – Alt Cause 474

AT: Water Terror 475

AT: Water Wars 1/2 476

AT: Water Wars 2/2 478

Ext #1 – No Link to Conflict 479

Ext #2 – Cooperation 480

Ext #4 – Wars too Costly 481

Ext #5 – No Escalation 482

AT: WTO 483

Ext #1 – WTO Fails 484

AT: Yucca Mountain 485



AT: Zoonotic Diseases 487

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